REAL TIME NEWS
Goldman Sachs -Desk Thoughts:- As anticipated, following Trump’s comments on August 12th, gold will not be subject to tariffs.- The EFP strength to +$20/oz (December matched) likely stemmed from physical traders hesitating to take the opposing side of the macro bid... Goldman Sachs -Desk Thoughts:- As anticipated, following Trump’s comments on August 12th, gold will not be subject to tariffs.- The EFP strength to +$
USD Lower Following NFPThe US Dollar is starting the week on a softer footing as traders digest Friday’s report and look ahead to a slew of key US data to come. The August NFP was seen falling to just 22k, down sharply from the upwardly revised 79k reading seen in ... USD Lower Following NFPThe US Dollar is starting the week on a softer footing as traders digest Friday’s report and look ahead to a slew of key US dat
BTC Holding Support for NowBitcoin is on watch this week following the consolidation we’ve seen following the recent correction lower. The futures market dropped from highs of almost $125k in mid-August to test support at the $108,855 level. While this region holds... BTC Holding Support for NowBitcoin is on watch this week following the consolidation we’ve seen following the recent correction lower. The futures mar
Friday's weaker-than-expected jobs data from the United States has resulted in sustained pressure on the USD, leading to a premium being maintained for USD puts when compared to the EUR. EUR/USD remains a favored option for traders looking to short the USD. Th... Friday's weaker-than-expected jobs data from the United States has resulted in sustained pressure on the USD, leading to a premium being maintain
TitleGBPUSD H1 I Bullish bounce off supportTypeBullish bouncePreference: The price is falling towards the pivot at 1.3454, an overlap support that is slightly above the 50%Fibonacci retracement. A bounce at this level could lead the price toward the 1st resistance ... TitleGBPUSD H1 I Bullish bounce off supportTypeBullish bouncePreference: The price is falling towards the pivot at 1.3454, an overlap support that is
TitleUSOUSD H4 | Bullish reversal ahead Type Bullish bouncePreference:The price is falling towards the pivot at 61.59, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. A bounce from this level could lead the price toward the 1st resistan... TitleUSOUSD H4 | Bullish reversal ahead Type Bullish bouncePreference:The price is falling towards the pivot at 61.59, which is a pullback support tha
Crude Higher on MondayOil prices are rising on Monday, despite the latest OPEC+ output hike, as demand grows against the backdrop of a weaker USD and elevated Russi-Ukraine risks. A fresh drop in the US NFP data on Friday has seen Fed easing expectations rising nea... Crude Higher on MondayOil prices are rising on Monday, despite the latest OPEC+ output hike, as demand grows against the backdrop of a weaker USD and
The FTSE Finish LineThe U.K.'s benchmark index, FTSE 100, edged down in late trading on Monday as investors focused on stock-specific moves driven by corporate news and shifts in commodity markets. Attention remains centred on the confidence vote in France thi... The FTSE Finish LineThe U.K.'s benchmark index, FTSE 100, edged down in late trading on Monday as investors focused on stock-specific moves drive
Daily Market Outlook, September 8, 2025 Patrick Munnelly, Partner: Market Strategy, Tickmill GroupMunnelly’s Macro Minute…The Yen dropped sharply and Japanese markets gained after PM Ishiba announced his resignation. Asian markets increased as traders were more con... Daily Market Outlook, September 8, 2025 Patrick Munnelly, Partner: Market Strategy, Tickmill GroupMunnelly’s Macro Minute…The Yen dropped sharply and
Title NZDUSD H1 I Bullish run set to continueTypeBullish bouncePreference:The price is rising towards the pivot at 0.5880, an overlap support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement. A bounce at this level could lead the price toward the 1st resistance... Title NZDUSD H1 I Bullish run set to continueTypeBullish bouncePreference:The price is rising towards the pivot at 0.5880, an overlap support that is

Investment Bank Outlook

Institutional Insights: JPMorgan FX Trading Desk Views

GBP: A volatile week for GBP, influenced by CIT headlines and month-end dynamics, which appeared to clean up USD shorts in the market. However, Trump’s shift toward doubling steel tariffs and adopting...

Institutional Inights: JPMorgan EURUSD Trading Desk View

JPMorgan EURUSD Trading Desk ViewThe price action in FX markets remains insightful, albeit challenging. Each time it seems we might revert to established ranges, uncertainty persists. Starting this...

Institutional Insights: Deutsche Bank - Investor Flows & Positioning 02/06/25

Stuck In The MiddleFollowing a significant climb tied to the US-China trade deal, equity positioning has largely plateaued and remains moderately underweight (z-score: -0.45, 23rd percentile)....

Institutional Insights: Goldman Sachs -Gold and Oil in Long-Run Portfolios

The Strategic Case for Gold and Oil in Long-Run PortfoliosFollowing the recent failure of US bonds to protect against equity downside and the rapid rise in US borrowing costs, investors seek...

Institutional insights: Goldman Sachs FX Morning Notes

GS FX Morning Notes: Was It All a Bad Dream? Not Quite.Research | Economics | JUST NOWTariff Court Ruling: The recent ruling by the Court of International Trade to block the majority of tariff hikes...

Institutional Insights: Goldman Sachs SP500 Positioning & Key Levels 28/05/25

US Equity Positioning and Key LevelsFICC and Equities27 May 2025 | Consolidated Recap of GS Positioning MetricsSummary:CTA Corner:CTAs are predominantly sellers across most markets outside the US. Buy...

Institutional Insights: Morgan Stanley G10 FX Strategy

G10 FX Strategy | Global A Shift Back to Higher Short USD PositioningKey Takeaways: Options pricing data reveals that investors have increased long positions in EUR and reduced short positions in NZD,...

Institutional Insights: Credit Agricole Month End Model

Our FX month-end rebalancing model indicates that portfolio-rebalancing flows are likely to result in moderate USD selling across the board, with the strongest sell signal observed for USD against...

Institutional Insights: Credit Agricole FX Weekly 23/05/25

Stagflation hedgesUS President Donald Trump’s inconsistent stance on tariffs heightened FX volatility in Q2, prompting us to further lower our USD forecasts. We have adjusted our EUR/USD projections...